page id: 234852 Plus Minus Rating Case Studies

A One Point Lose Game

Case Study
Category: Plus Minus Rating
Event: A One Point Lose Game
Documentation: eBA Basketball Statistics Creative Analysis System
References: Webinar #6 ~ Analyzing Player's Time Played  (external link)
Spanish ~ Español: Partido Perdido por un Punto
Code: PM01


The game was a one point lose ( 87/88 ) and player 1 plays 31 minutes with a net score of 75/72 on court and a
plus / minus of +3, meanwhile player 2 plays 9 minutes with a net score of 12/16 and a plus minus of -4.

It is possible to analyze that player 1 would be on court for another minute to win the game ?


No, it's NO POSSIBLE to state that conclusion at all: in this exposition at eBA ONLINE (external link) ( ' The Plus Minus Rating Analysis ' ), it is clearly indicated the following: "A situation when a player have a NEGATIVE rating ON court and a POSITIVE while on bench, MUST NOT be lightly analyzed as this player should have been played MORE minutes."

We must take into account, using the Basketball  (external link) Plus / Minus Ratings that the overall debate about this rate has dismissed the effect of opponent strength, because + / - rate doesn't measure player combinations for the opponents. On the other hand, there is no way to recognize between players who have good individual but bad team numbers, opposed to players with bad individual statistics but good + / - ratings.

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